-
Probability
- Conditional probability: Medical tests and risk of disease
This activity is also part of one or more other Books. Modifications will be visible in all these Books. Do you want to modify the original activity or create your own copy for this Book instead?
This activity was created by '{$1}'. Do you want to modify the original activity or create your own copy instead?
This activity was created by '{$1}' and you lack the permission to edit it. Do you want to create your own copy instead and add it to the book?
Probability
Varada Vaughan, Feb 9, 2015
GGB files for developing understanding of Probablity
-
1. Conditional probability: Medical tests and risk of disease
Conditional probability: Medical tests and risk of disease
Students can experiment with different scenarios by substituting their own values for prevalence of disease, and true positive, and false positive rates of the medical test.
What factors matter for the likelihood of having a disease, given that the test is positive?
For what values will the likelihood of disease given a positive test result be greater than 0.50?
Why, do you think, do most people get the question wrong if we simply ask them to estimate the risk of infection given that the test result is positive?
Saving…
All changes saved
Error
A timeout occurred. Trying to re-save …
Sorry, but the server is not responding. Please wait a few minutes and then try to save again.